Will tablets surpass netbooks in two years - Monc
And that could be just the beginning: According to TechCrunch, Forrester believes that a year after that, in 2013, tablets will outsell desktop computers, making tablets the No. 2 form factor of choice for computer buyers.
This will leave the mighty laptop/notebook standing at the top of the industry — and it doesn’t seem that notebooks as we know them will be going anywhere soon. Forrester projects that it will hold fairly steady at a market share of 42% by 2015 (compared with 44% today), so the format apparently has a long life to come.
Realistically,Moncler, though, by looking at the graph TechCrunch posted, virtually all of the market share being gobbled up by the tablet is coming at the expense of the desktop PC, which has been on a dramatic decline since well before the tablet came into being. In 2008 desktops had a 45% share of sales. That dropped to 38% in 2009 as the netbook came on the scene and is expected to hit 32% this year. By 2015 it's projected to be nearly half that: a paltry 18% share of the market, relegated mainly to corporate environments. What power user (aside from the occasional gamer) is clamoring for a new desktop?
As TechCrunch notes, the big question is how much of the tablet space will be owned by Apple. With 2 million units already sold, Apple alone could eat up more than the 6 percent 2010 market share allocated to tablets all by itself. Are the overall tablet numbers actually conservative here?
Personally, I’m still on the fence about tablets. The iPad is primarily used by the children in my household, and if I want to try something on it, the scene devolves into a wrestling match. (There’s a lot of crying too,New Era, but that’s mostly from me.) I still find a physical keyboard essential for doing almost anything online.
What about you? Are you helping to drive the tablet revolution? And what about the netbook? Is that a fad that’s now passed us by?
— Christopher Null is a technology writer for Yahoo! News.
The tablet revolution is just getting underway — Forrester Research estimates that 6 percent of computer sales this year will be in the tablet format — but watch out: By 2012, the firm figures, tablets will be outselling netbooks/mini-PCs, gobbling up 18 percent of the market.
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